OPTIC

Cofounder

I currently run OPTIC alongside Jingyi and Tom. We build infrastructure for university-level forecasting, primarily by running in-person, intercollegiate forecasting tournaments. Competitors are given a handful of questions on real-world events ranging from geopolitics to celebrity twitter patterns to financial asset prices. They make probabilistic predictions on the outcomes of those events, and the best forecasters get thousands of dollars in cash prizes and access to exclusive internships.

We also incubate & support university forecasting clubs across the US and Europe.

For more details, see opticforecasting.com. For references, talk to Juan Gil (my mentor, and a Research Manager for the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program).

Manifest 2023

Lead Organizer

I ran Manifest 2023: the first-of-its-kind, three-day, 250-person forecasting & prediction market conference, hosted by Manifold. Speakers included Nate Silver (Co-Founder of 538), Robin Hanson, Emmet Shear (Interim Ex-CEO of OpenAI, Ex-CEO/Cofounder of Twitch, Ex-Partner of Y Combinator), Dylan Matthews (Vox), Scott Alexander (ACX), Eliezer Yudkowsky, Tarek Mansour (CEO/Co-Founder of Kalshi), Shayne Coplan (CEO/Founder of Polymarket), Zvi Mowshowitz, and a lot more — you can watch some of their talks on Youtube here.

Manifest was written up by the New York Times (original, no paywall) and The Diff.

For more details, see manifestconference.net. For references, talk to Austin Chen (my boss, and cofounder of Manifold Markets).

Brandeis University

Philosophy Undergrad (On Leave until Sept 2024)

I’m an undergraduate studying philosophy at Brandeis University, concentrating in ethics, epistemology, maybe philosophy of math, and anything else I find interesting along the way. I’m considering additionally majoring or minoring in computer science, math, and legal studies.

Brandeis Effective Altruism

Executive Board Member (On Leave until Sept 2024)

I help run Brandeis Effective Altruism (BEA), mainly planning & facilitating two weekly, in-depth discussion groups for 5-15 undergraduates on topics like existential risk, animal welfare, and global development, and meeting weekly with other board members and organizers to develop short- and long-term strategies for BEA’s growth and robustness.

Some projects I’ve built for BEA: the website; feedback forms and the contact doc, including the general BEA feedback form, organizer feedback forms, and event-specific feedback forms; and the Slack.